Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 15.331951 17.269847 19.376147 21.838363 24.641314 27.737008 31.420862
2025-03-16 12.400510 14.960163 17.953710 21.724389 26.363026 31.903086 39.051389
2025-03-23 10.647878 13.652110 17.402722 22.455937 29.127266 37.689916 49.603253
2025-03-30 9.025850 12.219024 16.446083 22.499399 31.024355 42.718409 60.175127
2025-04-06 7.580922 10.774169 15.229702 21.972770 32.046569 46.738828 70.157813
2025-04-13 6.493690 9.646135 14.261202 21.610236 33.207322 51.119304 81.494832
2025-04-20 5.848110 9.057237 13.973997 22.193022 35.864210 58.185968 98.403968
2025-04-27 5.333887 8.587219 13.787679 22.886475 38.793572 66.177496 118.474810
2025-05-04 4.828484 8.054103 13.415012 23.198237 41.112700 73.519827 138.911808
2025-05-11 4.276165 7.363344 12.677174 22.751671 41.994524 78.423699 155.767367
2025-05-18 3.820250 6.776634 12.035151 22.369654 42.914052 83.529257 174.076865
2025-05-25 3.446661 6.287457 11.499530 22.098479 43.988173 89.101429 194.543177
2025-06-01 3.140531 5.893280 11.104975 22.078036 45.643115 96.334681 220.764231
2025-06-08 2.864331 5.521337 10.704612 21.987301 47.145939 103.557445 248.806156
2025-06-15 2.707846 5.364664 10.708654 22.746127 50.651275 115.976792 292.806293
2025-06-22 2.500786 5.078954 10.410950 22.802532 52.571171 125.086422 330.720703
2025-06-29 2.267622 4.710011 9.890208 22.276611 53.019936 130.700822 360.679459
2025-07-06 2.075389 4.405132 9.468373 21.914373 53.804541 137.325389 395.324616
2025-07-13 1.974265 4.287754 9.447520 22.510094 57.140601 151.408243 456.323225
2025-07-20 1.888739 4.194869 9.470093 23.217175 60.909119 167.515602 528.566572
2025-07-27 1.785263 4.048158 9.347639 23.535862 63.682709 181.401681 597.848486
2025-08-03 1.646141 3.801377 8.954364 23.083692 64.198205 188.694926 646.686894
2025-08-10 1.524238 3.582623 8.604030 22.696621 64.841911 196.556370 700.193202